Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

An inverted yield curve indicates short-term rates exceed long-term, suggesting economic caution. Historically, consistent negative spreads on this curve have preceded recessions. Investors might ...

Treasury yields have now been inverted for the longest stretch on record, with the spread between the 2-year (US2Y) and 10-year Treasury (US10Y) underwater for close to two years. It's got everyone ...

Later in this article, I will display a chart revealing a consistent pattern of when a recession is most likely to begin. From a trader's viewpoint, pattern recognition is essential for successful ...

After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...

An inverted yield curve, historically a precursor to economic downturns, suggests short-term borrowing costs for banks could soon outpace returns from long-term loans, squeezing profit margins, writes ...

Institutional investors considering opportunities in the emerging markets may do well by considering local-currency EM debt – an asset class poised to take off given the likelihood of an easing ...

The inverted yield curve is one of the more reliable recession indicators. I discussed it at length last December. At that point, we had not yet seen a full inversion. Now we have, and it appears the ...

MUMBAI, Oct 12 (Reuters) - As pressure builds on India's central bank to ease monetary policy after a slew of fiscal and economic reforms, the debt market is cautiously positioning for policy rates to ...

The yield curve shows the difference in the short- and long-term interest rates of bonds and other fixed-income securities issued by the U.S. Treasury. An inverted yield curve occurs when short-term ...