This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of publicly available information and is provided for informational purposes only.

See more of our trusted coverage when you search. Prefer Newsweek on Google to see more of our trusted coverage when you search. Historically, the party in the White House loses seats in the midterms, so Democrats are optimistic about their chances of ...

More than 1.3 million votes were cast before the polls opened on Tuesday, Aug. 4. Those were strong Michigan absentee and early voting numbers.

Recent polls indicate El-Sayed is pulling ahead, which suggests once-undecided Michiganders like Mallen are breaking for him. He was up by as much as 18 points in polling released last week. If accurate, he would pull off a stunning upset in Tuesday’s primary. The winner takes on the Trump-backed Republican Mike Rogers in the general.

The big hurdle for Democrats’ Senate majority hopes at the start of the 2026 election cycle seemed clear: The map was terrible for them.

Democrats are competitive in six key Senate battlegrounds, but Republicans still hold the edge in the fight for the upper chamber, according to new polling from The New York Times and Siena. The New York Times/Siena Polls found Democrats leading the Senate races in North Carolina,

Michigan Democrats head to the polls Tuesday in a Senate primary that’s become a proxy fight over the party’s direction. It pits progressive Abdul El-Sayed, who is backed by Sen. Bernie Sanders and